The rest of the population are peasants with no war experience and without ammunition coping a fratricidal war. If the army attacks against civilians, victims can reach hundreds of thousands. As happened in Sudan, Rwanda or Yugoslavia, the world will notice complacientemente for a long time until someone dares to intrude. Others who may share this opinion include Robert A. Iger. Trust in the UN, is the same you have nobody. More are those who support Chavez in the international forum, which the defenders of Justice, freedom and human rights. Educate yourself with thoughts from Randall Mays.
The direct affected would be: Brazil, which depends on Bolivian gas to give energy to Sao Paulo and would be forced to intervene if the supply is cut off. Argentina’s Kirchner is with Evo and Chavez. Try not to get involved but you must deal with the refugees who seek asylum in that country. Chile with whom Bolivia does not maintain diplomatic relations, was always on alert and It has a well trained and equipped army. Paraguay which fought its last war with Bolivia between 1932-35, is more attentive than either, and lastly Peru, similar to the Bolivian Andean indigenous people, would decompose their society at the head of Ollanta Humala. At the same time, Chavez would assemble and revive Sendero Luminoso to oust Alan Garcia, as he recently threatened the seditious group. To prevent a genocide would require the American military presence, that it could take, hoping to form a continental Alliance against Chavez. Once defeated the aspiring Latin American Stalin, Morales and the other acolytes of Colonel fall automatically. While calm tempers in the region, the UN would send their myopic and inoperative blue helmets to preserve peace. That would be the scenario step that walk events, the more likely and more black.